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GOULBURN

R1 1:18 PM R2 1:58 PM R3 2:38 PM R4 3:18 PM R5 3:58 PM R6 4:38 PM

Race 1

1:18 PM
1300m · 6 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Goulburn & District Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st OLE MISS 💡 Saver
2nd GIOVANNA STAR 📍 Place Pick
3rd GOLDEN WARRIOR
4th WISH YOU WERE HERE
✅ Place bet landed — GIOVANNA STAR ran a place
✅ Saver won — OLE MISS finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Model and market disagree — our top pick differs from the market favourite.
7
GIOVANNA STAR W $2.50·P $1.30
win or place
Our model rates this runner above the market favourite on form. Worth a win or place play.
2
OLE MISS P $1.30
Saver · place
Market favourite as a place saver — the market likes this one even if our model is cooler.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. GIOVANNA STAR TOP RATED 5 $2.50 $1.30 $3.36
2. OLE MISS FAV 3 $2.45 $1.30 $3.64
1. WISH YOU WERE HERE 4 $4.40 $1.95 $5.76
5. GOLDEN WARRIOR 6 $10.00 $3.70 $8.23
3. OUR KINSMEN 1 $26.00 $6.50 $13.19
4. OFF SHAW (NZ) 2 $41.00 $8.00 $17.68
Favourite record at GOULBURN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.45) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 38% 75% 24*
2.00–2.49 this race 50% 82% 22*
2.50–3.49 40% 67% 42*
3.50–4.99 33% 62% 21*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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