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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:34 PM R4 2:14 PM R5 2:54 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 1

12:20 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SUR NOVA CENTAURI (USA) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ALL OVER HARRY 💡 Saver
3rd BAVARIA
4th CALIPPO
✅ Best Bet won — SUR NOVA CENTAURI (USA) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ALL OVER HARRY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
SUR NOVA CENTAURI (USA) W $1.60
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
4
ALL OVER HARRY P $1.60
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. SUR NOVA CENTAURI (USA) FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.02 $2.92
4. ALL OVER HARRY 7 $7.00 $1.60 $6.55
6. BAVARIA 4 $7.00 $1.65 $6.67
5. ARRUZA 2 $8.50 $1.95 $7.86
9. STELLAR CIPHER 5 $15.00 $2.75 $11.33
1. CALIPPO 3 $15.00 $2.70 $12.28
8. PIERIPPER 8 $51.00 $5.50 $31.54
7. HUSSLAA 9 $61.00 $6.25 $37.17
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 32*
2.00–2.49 35% 85% 40*
2.50–3.49 25% 65% 63
3.50–4.99 23% 73% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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