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HAWKESBURY

R1 12:20 PM R2 12:55 PM R3 1:34 PM R4 2:14 PM R5 2:54 PM R6 3:35 PM R7 4:15 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 2

12:55 PM
1400m · 13 runners
🏁 Result
1st KOIBITO (NZ) ⭐ Best Bet
2nd FIERCE CRITIC
3rd MICHONNE'S KATANA 💡 Saver
4th BILLAPALOOLA
✅ Best Bet won — KOIBITO (NZ) finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MICHONNE'S KATANA ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
KOIBITO (NZ) W $1.80
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
MICHONNE'S KATANA P $1.50
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. KOIBITO (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.80 $1.09 $2.91
6. MICHONNE'S KATANA 12 $4.60 $1.50 $7.36
9. BILLAPALOOLA 5 $10.00 $2.60 $9.35
11. EXPLOSIVE EXPRESS (NZ) 3 $9.50 $2.50 $11.68
5. LLANTARNAM 9 $14.00 $3.25 $17.39
8. BALLERDENA (NZ) 6 $34.00 $5.75 $18.97
1. FIERCE CRITIC 1 $23.00 $4.25 $21.03
4. LET'S BE HONEST 10 $61.00 $7.00 $27.94
7. MOORDYUP 14 $34.00 $5.75 $29.55
10. ENVIOUS 2 $61.00 $7.25 $30.35
13. WAVE BLASTER 11 $101.00 $9.50 $40.59
3. LEGSLIKETWIGGY 13 $126.00 $11.00 $45.37
14. WILD YARN 7 $151.00 $14.00 $48.65
Favourite record at HAWKESBURY ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.80) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 84% 32*
2.00–2.49 35% 85% 40*
2.50–3.49 25% 65% 63
3.50–4.99 23% 73% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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