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MORNINGTON

R1 12:30 PM R2 1:00 PM R3 1:30 PM R4 2:00 PM R5 2:30 PM R6 3:00 PM R7 3:30 PM R8 4:00 PM

Race 3

1:30 PM
1000m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Mornington Racecourse ›
🏁 Result
1st A STERN ANGEL
2nd PINAMILLOY 📍 Place Pick
3rd CAPITAL STORM
4th KENSINGTON
✅ Place bet landed — PINAMILLOY ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
PINAMILLOY W $2.40·P $1.14
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. PINAMILLOY FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.40 $1.14 $4.33
2. A STERN ANGEL 2 $3.80 $1.28 $4.55
5. CAPITAL STORM 6 $3.80 $1.30 $5.22
12. KENSINGTON 1 $10.00 $2.35 $8.98
11. THATSWOTITZALABOUT (NZ) 4 $15.00 $3.10 $11.77
1. RUSSIAN INTO IT 8 $19.00 $3.50 $13.47
10. ISABELLAS 9 $126.00 $9.00 $29.53
7. LITTLE GANGSTER 3 $71.00 $6.75 $34.54
9. EXEGESIS 14 $151.00 $11.00 $41.19
Favourite record at MORNINGTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.00–2.49 this race 29% 63% 24*
2.50–3.49 23% 67% 39*
3.50–4.99 23% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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