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BALLARAT

R1 2:40 PM R2 3:15 PM R3 3:50 PM R4 4:25 PM R5 5:00 PM R6 5:30 PM R7 6:00 PM R8 6:30 PM

Race 1

2:40 PM
1400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st GOODNESS (NZ) 📍 Place Pick
2nd ROYAL MAXIMUS (NZ)
3rd DORCHESTER (NZ)
4th GUN CITY (NZ)
✅ Place bet — won outright — GOODNESS (NZ) finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
8
GOODNESS (NZ) W $2.05·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. GOODNESS (NZ) FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.05 $1.24 $2.95
3. ROYAL MAXIMUS (NZ) 2 $3.10 $1.40 $4.38
6. GUN CITY (NZ) 1 $7.00 $2.70 $5.82
10. LOYALTY 10 $13.00 $4.40 $11.59
9. DORCHESTER (NZ) 7 $12.00 $4.20 $12.19
7. STOMPING GROUND 5 $20.00 $5.50 $16.03
2. RELEASE THE FOX 8 $81.00 $14.00 $33.19
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.05) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 this race 44% 64% 45*
2.50–3.49 36% 65% 100
3.50–4.99 23% 60% 62

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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