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BALLARAT

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Race 4

4:25 PM
1400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st CENTENARY FLORIN 📍 Place Pick
2nd FARAKTA
3rd SHE'S A JETT (NZ)
4th LADHAR
✅ Place bet — won outright — CENTENARY FLORIN finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
CENTENARY FLORIN P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
3
RAPID CHEVAL (NZ) W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. CENTENARY FLORIN FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.80 $1.22 $4.26
6. FARAKTA 5 $3.20 $1.28 $4.70
2. LADHAR 7 $6.00 $1.70 $6.94
3. RAPID CHEVAL (NZ) 2 $12.00 $2.70 $10.12
1. SET ME FREE 6 $9.50 $2.35 $10.86
8. KOOLATAH QUEEN 3 $14.00 $3.20 $10.89
7. SHE'S A JETT (NZ) 1 $13.00 $3.00 $12.84
5. TAURI 4 $41.00 $5.75 $20.91
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 44% 64% 45*
2.50–3.49 this race 36% 65% 100
3.50–4.99 23% 60% 62

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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