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BALLARAT

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Race 5

5:00 PM
1200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st GAMADALE PADDY 💡 Saver
2nd BLACKBELT
3rd FORT OF DREAMS
4th LAVANCHER
❌ Unplaced — DE NIRO didn't feature
✅ Saver won — GAMADALE PADDY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
DE NIRO W $2.00
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
8
GAMADALE PADDY P $1.38
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. DE NIRO FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.00 $1.09 $3.57
8. GAMADALE PADDY 3 $4.20 $1.38 $5.07
6. BLACKBELT 1 $8.50 $2.15 $9.47
3. FORT OF DREAMS 9 $9.00 $2.30 $9.53
9. LAVANCHER 7 $12.00 $2.75 $9.67
5. SOUNDWAVE (NZ) 11 $15.00 $3.20 $12.38
1. BRILLIANT BULL ANT 8 $26.00 $4.25 $20.83
4. HARD HITTER 4 $61.00 $6.75 $30.38
13. MY INFINITY 13 $81.00 $7.50 $33.69
12. ENNISCRONE 5 $201.00 $15.00 $58.11
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 this race 44% 64% 45*
2.50–3.49 36% 65% 100
3.50–4.99 23% 60% 62

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.