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BALLARAT

R1 2:40 PM R2 3:15 PM R3 3:50 PM R4 4:25 PM R5 5:00 PM R6 5:30 PM R7 6:00 PM R8 6:30 PM

Race 7

6:00 PM
1600m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st THE FLYING POPOV 📍 Place Pick
2nd WHICH FLOOR (NZ)
3rd MISTER MARTINI
4th AUBAINE
✅ Place bet — won outright — THE FLYING POPOV finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree — a genuine top pick. Win or place.
5
THE FLYING POPOV W $2.30·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model agree on this runner — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. THE FLYING POPOV FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.30 $1.18 $4.23
8. MISTER MARTINI 3 $4.40 $1.40 $5.49
7. AUBAINE 1 $4.60 $1.45 $5.88
2. TEMPT THE GODS 8 $8.50 $2.30 $8.02
10. CELESTIAL SPLENDOR 9 $10.00 $2.50 $8.11
1. ROGAN (NZ) 11 $16.00 $3.50 $17.74
6. BLINDATO 6 $41.00 $6.00 $20.21
9. WHICH FLOOR (NZ) 10 $61.00 $7.25 $32.82
3. OUR SMOKESHOW (NZ) 4 $81.00 $8.00 $36.53
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 86% 35*
2.00–2.49 this race 44% 64% 45*
2.50–3.49 36% 65% 100
3.50–4.99 23% 60% 62

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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