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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:05 PM R2 5:35 PM R3 6:10 PM R4 6:50 PM R5 7:20 PM R6 7:57 PM R7 8:30 PM R8 9:00 PM

Race 4

6:50 PM
1100m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st GEEGEES MISSILE
2nd TAROONA 💡 Saver
3rd POPILITA
4th OBVIOUSLY GOOD
❌ Unplaced — NOVALARGO didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — TAROONA ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
6
NOVALARGO P $1.50
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
TAROONA W $6.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. NOVALARGO FAV TOP RATED 5 $2.80 $1.50 $3.87
2. GEEGEES MISSILE 6 $3.60 $1.85 $4.81
1. TAROONA 2 $6.50 $2.80 $6.97
4. GLOBAL TURN 3 $5.50 $2.50 $7.92
5. POPILITA 7 $9.00 $3.70 $8.81
7. BAYBOUGG 1 $14.00 $5.00 $11.52
3. OBVIOUSLY GOOD 4 $17.00 $5.50 $15.69
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 53% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 28% 78% 40*
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 69% 61
3.50–4.99 17% 55% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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