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WARWICK FARM

R1 1:20 PM R2 1:55 PM R3 2:30 PM R4 3:05 PM R5 3:40 PM R6 4:15 PM R7 4:50 PM

Race 5

3:40 PM
1300m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st DUVANA
2nd SHADY ROAD 📍 Place Pick
3rd BRYANT
4th STEALTHFIRE (NZ)
✅ Place bet landed — SHADY ROAD ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
SHADY ROAD P $1.28
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
SENJUTSU W $12.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. SHADY ROAD FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.90 $1.28 $4.48
3. BRYANT 2 $4.80 $1.60 $6.67
2. DUVANA 4 $4.80 $1.60 $6.95
5. BIG TIGER 10 $7.50 $2.25 $8.41
7. SENJUTSU 7 $12.00 $3.20 $10.02
9. STEALTHFIRE (NZ) 5 $11.00 $2.90 $11.87
8. SILENCIO PORFAVOR 1 $12.00 $3.20 $13.50
10. VIVA MAURICIO 6 $34.00 $5.75 $16.65
1. CROSSBOW 8 $34.00 $5.50 $21.89
Favourite record at WARWICK FARM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 48% 95% 21*
2.00–2.49 53% 76% 34*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 65% 57*
3.50–4.99 12% 54% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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