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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 2

5:45 PM
1400m · 12 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st MONGOLIAN HERO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BLUE AND GOLD
3rd CAPITAL AFFAIR
4th ROYAL CANVAS 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — MONGOLIAN HERO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
MONGOLIAN HERO W $1.30
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
9
ROYAL CANVAS P $2.20
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. MONGOLIAN HERO FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.30 $1.02 $2.24
9. ROYAL CANVAS 2 $10.00 $2.20 $9.50
12. CAPITAL AFFAIR 13 $10.00 $2.20 $9.69
4. GALIVAD (NZ) 4 $17.00 $3.20 $15.61
5. TECKNOKING 7 $23.00 $3.80 $16.36
10. SHAMAKITA 8 $19.00 $3.30 $17.68
6. BLUE AND GOLD 12 $15.00 $2.75 $18.03
13. SYMPHONY ROYALE 1 $91.00 $7.25 $37.30
14. FOXALATION 5 $51.00 $5.75 $38.77
1. ASPARAGUS 10 $151.00 $9.50 $50.31
2. BAROSSA BOURBON 3 $91.00 $7.25 $51.06
3. DEMPSEY 11 $126.00 $8.50 $60.43
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 62% 81% 53*
2.00–2.49 33% 69% 49*
2.50–3.49 35% 74% 111
3.50–4.99 7% 46% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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