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PAKENHAM

R1 5:15 PM R2 5:45 PM R3 6:15 PM R4 6:45 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM

Race 4

6:45 PM
2500m · 11 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Southside Racing Pakenham ›
🏁 Result
1st AMAWASHA
2nd FOIX (FR)
3rd CORONA LAD
4th SO BRAVE
❌ Unplaced — MELEK didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
MELEK P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
10
VERIFIER (NZ) W $8.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. MELEK FAV TOP RATED 11 $2.70 $1.30 $4.34
3. SUPERSTOCK (NZ) 10 $4.20 $1.55 $6.43
10. VERIFIER (NZ) 6 $8.50 $2.50 $9.05
6. CELTIC PARK (NZ) 7 $9.50 $2.70 $9.15
2. SO BRAVE 1 $9.00 $2.60 $9.95
5. FOIX (FR) 8 $13.00 $3.30 $13.43
7. CHOCOLATE ROYAL 9 $12.00 $3.20 $15.13
8. CORONA LAD 5 $31.00 $5.50 $19.11
9. AMAWASHA 3 $26.00 $4.80 $19.73
4. PORT PHILIP (IRE) 4 $34.00 $6.00 $31.02
11. OPUS 2 $126.00 $14.00 $56.70
Favourite record at PAKENHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 62% 81% 53*
2.00–2.49 33% 69% 49*
2.50–3.49 this race 35% 74% 111
3.50–4.99 7% 46% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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