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Race 7

3:10 PM
1335m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st CARRIEDO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SUSPECT
3rd SMALL TOWN HERO (NZ)
4th NEZIHA 💡 Saver
✅ Best Bet won — CARRIEDO finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
CARRIEDO W $1.70
win ⭐ Best Bet
Clear, well-supported favourite — market and model in agreement.
6
NEZIHA P $1.45
Saver · place
Saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. CARRIEDO FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.70 $1.12 $2.79
6. NEZIHA 5 $3.50 $1.45 $3.89
7. SMALL TOWN HERO (NZ) 3 $8.00 $2.80 $7.08
8. SUSPECT 2 $10.00 $3.40 $9.10
10. SACRO CATINO 4 $13.00 $4.20 $10.93
2. PORT LOUIS 7 $41.00 $7.25 $23.35
Favourite record at GEELONG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 65% 88% 26*
2.00–2.49 34% 63% 38*
2.50–3.49 32% 73% 78
3.50–4.99 21% 60% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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