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DARWIN

R1 2:05 PM R2 2:40 PM R3 3:15 PM R4 3:55 PM R5 4:35 PM R6 5:15 PM R7 5:53 PM

Race 4

3:55 PM
1200m · 5 runners
🏁 Result
1st LITTLEBOURKESTREET 📍 Place Pick
2nd BRUNO BRUNO
3rd BON'S YOUR BACK
4th RIVKIN
✅ Place bet — won outright — LITTLEBOURKESTREET finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
LITTLEBOURKESTREET P $1.32
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
1
CONVINCEBILITY W $5.00
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LITTLEBOURKESTREET FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.50 $1.32 $3.21
3. BRUNO BRUNO 2 $3.30 $1.50 $4.06
1. CONVINCEBILITY 4 $5.00 $2.15 $5.81
4. BON'S YOUR BACK 3 $7.50 $2.90 $7.36
2. RIVKIN 5 $7.00 $2.70 $7.42
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 44% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 69% 62
3.50–4.99 28% 59% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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