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DARWIN

R1 2:05 PM R2 2:40 PM R3 3:15 PM R4 3:55 PM R5 4:35 PM R6 5:15 PM R7 5:53 PM

Race 7

5:53 PM
1600m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st HENNESSY LAD (NZ)
2nd FURY
3rd VILLA SEVENTYNINE 💡 Saver
4th GRAVINA
❌ Unplaced — ROSSANADO didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — VILLA SEVENTYNINE ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
2
ROSSANADO P $1.50
place only
Weak favourite in a competitive field. Our model's top-rated runner for a place.
7
VILLA SEVENTYNINE W $5.50
Saver · small win
Our model rates this one higher than its price on form — a saver, not a sure thing.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. ROSSANADO FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.80 $1.50 $4.21
3. FURY 6 $3.90 $1.95 $4.94
7. VILLA SEVENTYNINE 1 $5.50 $2.50 $6.61
5. HENNESSY LAD (NZ) 4 $6.00 $2.65 $6.84
4. BAROCCO BAR 5 $8.50 $3.50 $8.86
6. STARZAM 2 $9.50 $3.80 $10.09
1. GRAVINA 3 $19.00 $5.75 $19.73
Favourite record at DARWIN ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 60% 87% 30*
2.00–2.49 44% 80% 50*
2.50–3.49 this race 37% 69% 62
3.50–4.99 28% 59% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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